Poll: Threat of bioterror worries nation

Posted: Wednesday, November 28, 2001

WASHINGTON -- Three-fifths of Americans say they would want smallpox vaccinations if they were widely available, according to an Associated Press poll. The majority said they wanted the vaccine even when they were told that serious side effects could result.

The poll suggests continued public anxiety about the threat of bioterror. Half the respondents said they are concerned about the threat of a smallpox attack.

Almost that many said they thought last month's anthrax attacks are the beginning of an extended campaign, said the poll conducted for the AP by ICR of Media, Pa.

Some of those still concerned about bioterrorism say they generally are nervous because they do not know what's coming next.

''To me, now, anything can happen,'' said Michelle Hunt, a 50-year-old retail clerk from Boulder City, Nev. ''If it's out there, it could happen. I try not to worry about it.''

The U.S. government is stockpiling the smallpox vaccine in case of terrorist attacks, but it has no plans to routinely vaccinate the general public. Smallpox vaccine is made with a live virus related to smallpox, so it can cause some very serious side effects. Experts estimate that if every American were vaccinated against smallpox, some 400 people would die from the vaccine.

A majority of Americans indicate they would get the vaccine if it were available, even after they are informed of the possible risks.

''Smallpox is incredibly contagious and they only have 15 million vaccinations,'' said Bradford Rubinoff, 28, of Tucson, Ariz. ''If people would use anthrax against us, who's to say they wouldn't use smallpox?''

Among the risks: About 3 in every 1 million people vaccinated would get encephalitis, which can cause permanent brain damage or death. Another 250 would get a smallpox-like rash that also can be fatal if not properly treated.

People are evenly split about whether the anthrax attacks are part of a long-term campaign. xsThe number who think the anthrax attacks are likely to continue in the coming months is 45 percent, down only slightly from the height of the anthrax scare in mid-October, according to the poll of 1,003 people taken Nov. 9-13. The poll, conducted before the discovery of the anthrax-tainted letter sent to Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., has an error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Young adults between 18 and 34 were twice as likely as those over 65 to think the anthrax attacks are the beginning of a long terror campaign.

''I am worried about it,'' said Veronica Gallo, 18, of San Bernardino, Calif. ''Watching it on the news over and over -- it scares me. I tend to stay more with my family these days. It's pretty much all the stuff that's going on ... anthrax, plane crashes.''

Some of the continuing concerns about anthrax may have to do with bad information. A quarter of the people in the poll erroneously think anthrax is contagious.

About a fourth of those polled said the handling of the anthrax scare gave them more confidence in the government's ability to protect citizens from future terrorist attacks. Nearly that many said it gave them less confidence -- with Democrats twice as likely as Republicans to say they had lost confidence. About half said it has not affected their confidence level.

''My confidence was not affected,'' said Christine Jarrell Ratke, a 26-year-old college student from Ferndale, Mich., near Detroit. ''I was not surprised they were slow to react. ... It's new and the government isn't perfect. I don't think it can protect us from everything.''

AP Medical Writer Lauran Neergaard contributed to this report.



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